Finance & Investment Banking

Statistical Alpha Engine (Skill 2.2)

Ranks every asset in a trading universe cross-sectionally to answer questions like 'where does BTC rank right now?'

47/ 100
Use with care

Useful, but reliability, evidence or controls still have material gaps.

See how it was scored ↓
Works as-is in
Codex · Claude Code
Stars
★ 2.1k
Last updated
2mo ago
License
AGPL-3.0
quantitative-financecross-sectional-rankingfactor-modelcrypto-trading
+3alpha-signalsohlcv-datastatistical-analysis

What does this skill do, and when should you use it?

This is one of 14 skills bundled in olaxbt/ai-market-maker, an open-source, hedge-fund-style agentic trading system for crypto. Located at src/agents/operator/2.2_statistical_alpha_engine/, it computes cross-sectional rankings and z-scores from universe-wide OHLCV data plus a factor cache covering momentum, value, volatility and on-chain metrics. Its analyze() call returns a Tier-0 contract with rank, z-score, alpha signal and factor confluence. It depends on the parent repo's universe config and factor pipeline, so it cannot run standalone. It suits quant-minded users already running the AIMM stack who need a statistical research-desk signal.

  • Reads universe-wide OHLCV data and a factor-model cache (momentum, value, volatility, on-chain)
  • Exposes analyze(ticker, market_data) returning a Tier-0 contract with cross-sectional ranking
  • Answers direct queries such as 'How does BTC rank in the universe?' or 'What's the cross-sectional z-score of ETH?'
  • Serves a query endpoint /statistical_alpha_engine?ticker=BTC/USDT returning rank, z-score, alpha signal and factor confluence
Good fit
  • A quant researcher who needs a fast relative-strength rank for a specific coin across a multi-asset universe
  • The Statistical Alpha research desk inside AIMM, which needs factor-level inputs before signal synthesis
  • A developer checking whether momentum, value, volatility and on-chain factors align (confluence) for one asset
  • A backtesting workflow that screens relatively strong or weak assets by z-score
Not a fit
  • Users who want to run the skill standalone outside AIMM — it hard-depends on the parent repo's universe config (src/config/default_universe.py) and factor pipeline
  • Traders seeking a proven, ready-to-deploy strategy — the README warns one profitable backtest is not proof of edge, requiring multi-regime, out-of-sample validation, and no standalone accuracy or test evidence exists for this skill
  • Commercial SaaS operators unwilling to meet AGPL-3.0 source-offer obligations when running a modified version as a network service

How do you install this skill?

Before you use it
  • Alpha signals and Factor_Confluence rules are unverified by execution; do not use for real trading decisions — the README itself warns a profitable backtest is not proof of edge.
  • The skill does not declare behavior boundaries on missing data or universe-size changes; failure feedback on abnormal input is unknown.
  • No Chinese documentation; on-chain/factor data depends on overseas crypto data pipelines with unverified mainland-China reachability.
  • Skill-level versioning and maintenance responsibility are not declared; track repo changes yourself for upgrade compatibility.
  • Publisher is not verified by the FollowSkills registry — identity is unknown (not a deduction by itself, but note it).
Before you start
Your agent needs
  • Shell / CLI
  • Network access
  • Local filesystem
Install first
  • Python 3.11+
  • uv
  • TA-Lib
  • parent ai-market-maker repo (src/config/default_universe.py, factor pipeline)

The skill ships inside the parent repo, not as a standalone package. Install via:

OpenClaw

claw install https://github.com/olaxbt/ai-market-maker

Manual

git clone https://github.com/olaxbt/ai-market-maker.git
cd ai-market-maker
conda install -y ta-lib -c conda-forge
uv sync --extra dev

The skill file lives at src/agents/operator/2.2_statistical_alpha_engine/SKILL.md.

How do you use this skill?

Try saying

Once installed, send your agent any of these to trigger it:

  • How does BTC rank in the universe?
  • What's the cross-sectional z-score of ETH?
  • /statistical_alpha_engine?ticker=BTC/USDT

With the parent repo deployed, call the query interface: /statistical_alpha_engine?ticker=BTC/USDT to get cross-sectional rank, z-score, alpha signal and factor confluence; or ask directly in conversation, e.g. 'How does BTC rank in the universe?' or 'What's the cross-sectional z-score of ETH?'. SKILL.md documents no standalone CLI command; the exact invocation path depends on the parent repo's API/agent flow.

What are this skill's strengths and limitations?

Pros
  • Cross-sectional rank plus z-score is a standard quant method with structured (Tier-0 contract) output, easy to feed downstream
  • Factor coverage spans momentum, value, volatility and on-chain metrics, not price action alone
  • Part of an actively presented open-source system under AGPL-3.0 with auditable code
Limitations
  • Hard dependency on the parent repo (universe config at src/config/default_universe.py and the factor pipeline) — unusable outside AIMM
  • The README itself warns that one profitable backtest is not proof of edge; multi-regime, out-of-sample validation is required
  • No standalone accuracy or test evidence for this skill is provided in the source material
  • AGPL-3.0 imposes source-offer obligations if you run a modified version as a network service — evaluate before commercial SaaS use

How does this skill compare with similar options?

Side by side with related skills; every score comes from the same FSRS standard.

Skill FS score Stars Last updated License
Statistical Alpha Engine (Skill 2.2) this page 47 · Use with care ★ 2.1k 2mo ago AGPL-3.0
Pro Bias Analyst 44 · Not recommended ★ 2.1k 2mo ago AGPL-3.0
Pattern Recognition Bot (2.1) 42 · Not recommended ★ 2.1k 2mo ago AGPL-3.0
WQ Alpha Research Skill 51 · Use with care ★ 409 3mo ago —
Liquidity Order Flow Analyst (4.2) 47 · Use with care ★ 2.1k 2mo ago AGPL-3.0

Within the same AIMM system it sits alongside the Technical TA Engine (patterns and indicators) and Sentiment & Narrative (news and hype) desks; this skill is the factor/cross-sectional statistics specialist.

How did FollowSkills review this skill?

FollowSkills review · FSRS-2.0
Use with care
47/ 100 5-point scale 2.4 / 5
1Trust13 / 25 · 2.6/5

Read-only statistical analysis with no funds movement, secrets, or external writes; no red-line risk found. SKILL.md declares data sources and dependency paths. However, data-flow details (origin of on-chain factors) are undisclosed, there is no financial-risk disclaimer or confirmation mechanism, and LLM-upstream transparency is limited. Deducted for incomplete data-flow disclosure and missing scoping/confirmation/rollback.

2Reliability9 / 20 · 2.3/5

persona.md provides a Tier-0 output contract, reasoning rules (z≥|2.0|, decile classification) and two few-shot examples; the happy path within the framework is plausible. But no skill-specific test coverage is shown (provided tests do not touch 2.2's key paths), failure feedback on abnormal input is absent, and Factor_Confluence rules are loosely specified (fixed 95 in the example). Deducted for insufficient key-path reproduction evidence and thin error handling.

3Adaptability7 / 15 · 2.3/5

Scenario is clear (cross-sectional rank, z-score queries for BTC/ETH); trigger semantics reasonably precise. But capability boundaries (universe size, behavior on missing data, non-fit ranges) are undeclared, there is no Chinese-language support, and environment-fit evidence is limited given the crypto data pipeline. Deducted for missing boundaries and non-fit declaration.

4Convention8 / 15 · 2.7/5

SKILL.md is well-structured with dependencies and query interface declared; persona supplies schema and few-shots; repo has AGPL-3.0, versioned pyproject, CI and maintenance signals. But the skill itself lacks version/changelog, known-limitation disclosure, FAQ, and its governance relation to the other 13 SKILL.md files is unexplained. Deducted for skill-level versioning and limitation disclosure gaps.

5Effectiveness6 / 15 · 2.0/5

Output contract is structured JSON (tier0/v1) with rank, z-score and alpha signal, directly consumable downstream; real marginal value as part of the pipeline. But static review cannot verify output correctness or signal validity, the README itself warns a profitable backtest is not proof of edge, and no comparative-benefit evidence exists. Deducted for unverified results and weak comparative-benefit evidence.

6Verifiability4 / 10 · 2.0/5

Repo provides CI workflows, a pytest suite, and pinned data with MANIFEST hashes — auditable primary material. But the shown tests do not cover the 2.2 alpha engine's key paths, few-shot outputs are author-authored, and there is no third-party execution evidence or cross-source corroboration. Deducted for thin reproducible coverage and unseparated claims.

1 2 3 4 5 6

Open a dimension to read why it scored that way

Reviewed Sep 09, 2026 Reviewed revision dd7115076904 Review evidence[1][2][3][4][5][6][7][8][9][10]

Evidence confidence:Low — Mostly static review, author material or a limited demo; useful for discovery, not high-risk decisions.

See the full review method →

FAQ

Do I need API keys?
SKILL.md lists no keys. The parent repo recommends Binance Testnet keys and optionally an OpenAI key; whether this skill's data fetch needs keys is not stated in the source.
Can I use just this skill without the full system?
No. It depends on the parent repo's universe config and factor computation pipeline, so you must clone and install ai-market-maker.
Can its output trade directly?
No. It only produces ranks and signals; in the AIMM architecture any trade must still pass Portfolio Management and the Risk Guard veto layer.
What does the license restrict?
AGPL-3.0: if you modify it and run it as a network service, you owe users source access. Review the license before SaaS deployment.

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